AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax Amsterdam Prediction and Betting Tips


AZ Alkmaar will welcome Ajax to AFAS Stadion in the Eredivisie on Sunday. The visitors have won 10 of their 21 league games and have a six-point lead over AZ.

The hosts met NEC Nijmegen in their previous league outing and suffered a 3-1 defeat. They faced Twente in the KNVB Cup quarterfinals on Wednesday and bounced back with a 2-1 win. Matěj Šín broke the deadlock in the ninth minute, and Kristian Hlynsson pulled Twente level in the second half. Late drama ensued as Troy Parrott scored the match-winner in extra time.

de Godenzonen are winless in their last two games and were held to a 2-2 draw by Excelsior last week. Mika Godts bagged a first-half brace to give them the lead, but they conceded twice after the break.


AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax Amsterdam Head-to-Head and Key Numbers

  • The two teams have squared off 112 times in all competitions. The visitors have the lead in the head-to-head record with 64 wins. AZ have 27 wins, and 21 games have ended in draws.
  • The hosts registered a 2-0 win in the reverse fixture in October and also won the KNVB Cup round of 16 meeting 6-0 in January.
  • The visitors are unbeaten in their last eight league games, recording five wins.
  • AZ Alkmaar have failed to score in just one of their 21 league games this season.
  • Ajax have scored at least two goals in their last eight league outings.
  • The hosts have kept five clean sheets in their last eight meetings against the visitors.
  • Six of the last nine meetings between them have produced over 2.5 goals.
  • Only league leaders PSV have suffered fewer defeats (1) than the visitors (3) in the Eredivisie this season.

AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax Amsterdam Prediction

De Kaasboeren have scored one goal each in their three home games in the Eredivisie in 2026 and will look to improve upon that record. They have won six of their last seven meetings against the visitors and will look to build on that form.

Sven Mijnans, Jordy Clasie, Denso Kasius, and Kees Smit are expected to miss this match due to injuries, while Mexx Meerdink is back in contention to start.

de Godenzonen have scored at least two goals in eight of their 10 away games in the Eredivisie this season and will look to continue that form here. They are winless in their last six away meetings against AZ, suffering five consecutive defeats, which is cause for concern.

Oscar Gloukh, Kian Fitz-Jim, Owen Wijndal, and Lucas Rosa were absent against Excelsior due to the flu and are major doubts for this match. Oleksandr Zinchenko has received the all clear to start here, but Maarten Paes and Maher Carrizo are ineligible to play.

Considering AZ’s home record in this fixture and Ajax’s drop in form, we back the hosts to secure a win.

Prediction: AZ Alkmaar 2-0 AFC Ajax Amsterdam


AZ Alkmaar vs AFC Ajax Amsterdam Betting Tips

Tip 1: Result – AZ Alkmaar to win

Tip 2: Goals – Over/Under 2.5 Goals – Under 2.5 goals

Tip 3: Both teams to score – No

Tip 4: At least one goal to be scored in the second half – Yes